firsttime
Edition 2026 · Padang & Co

ASEAN's Green Economy
is being stress-tested
in 2026.

The Strait of Hormuz closure, a Super El Niño, and cascading compliance mandates are landing at once. This is the year resilience stopped being a framework and became a requirement. Mapped across 1,150 startups and SMEs, seven sectors, and six countries — for the third year running.

Countries covered

SG

ID

MY

TH

VN

PH

Sectors

7 thematic clusters

Companies mapped

1,150

Edition

3rd · 2026

1,150

Startups, scale-ups & SMEs mapped

Across ASEAN-6 by primary industry classification

US$300B

Annual green economy opportunity

Bain & Co / GenZero / Temasek by 2030

54%

Of regional emissions from FALU

Food, agriculture & land use — biggest lever

US$200B+

Annual climate investment needed

Beyond reach of traditional finance

Executive summary

2026 is not a routine year. It is a genuine stress test — and that changes what resilience means.

A Strait of Hormuz closure, a Super El Niño, and cascading compliance mandates have landed simultaneously across ASEAN. The green economy's case no longer rests on climate alone — it is now an energy security argument, a food security argument, and an industrial competitiveness argument at once. Among the 1,150 startups and SMEs mapped in this Landscape, a clear role emerges: they are the integration layer of the transition — and in 2026, that integration work is no longer optional.

2026 theme

The Year of Resilience.

In 2026, the Strait of Hormuz closure, a Super El Niño, and accelerating compliance mandates have landed simultaneously. Resilience is no longer a framework — it is the operating context. We assess every story in this Landscape across three dimensions.

Climate Resilience

The capacity of ecosystems and communities to withstand physical shocks — from extreme heat and flooding to storm surges and crop loss. Measured by how directly an innovation addresses physical climate exposure.

Economic Resilience

Reduced dependence on fragile supply chains and imported inputs — from fossil fuels and fertilisers to food and critical minerals. Measured by how much an innovation cuts import exposure or builds self-sufficiency.

Social Resilience

Whether the transition strengthens livelihoods and community stability rather than displacing them. Measured by whether an innovation includes or benefits the people most exposed — smallholder farmers, informal workers, and low-income communities.

Context: the 2026 shocks

The Strait of Hormuz closure in February 2026 pushed nitrogen fertiliser prices up 30%+ and exposed ASEAN's structural dependence on imported fossil fuels. A Super El Niño is intensifying through H2 2026, threatening yields across Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam. Both shocks land together — not sequentially — making 2026 a genuine test of the region's resilience across all three dimensions.

Resilience ratings in each sector

★★★ High impact

★★ Moderate impact

★★ Limited impact

Country explorer

Different starting points. Same structural opportunity.

Six countries. One shared transition story. Click a country on the map or in the tabs, then drill in for the full deep-dive.

Companies by country

SEA-6 · 1,150 total

Singapore

The region's diversified hub

525

Startups

45%

Of SEA-6

2050

Net-zero target

Singapore hosts 525 startups — 45% of all SEA-6 — and over half of the region's Built Environment and Climate Markets & Enablers ecosystems. The region's digital and climate operating system.

Philippines

Energy-led ecosystem

72

Startups

6%

Of SEA-6

2030

Net-zero target

72 startups — the smallest count, but the only country where Energy Transition is the top sector. Solar PV is the standout activity in one of the world's most climate-exposed nations.

Vietnam

Most agri-centric in SEA-6

84

Startups

7%

Of SEA-6

2050

Net-zero target

84 startups, with 38% in Nature, Agriculture & Food. PDP8 reorients the power mix toward renewables, LNG and offshore wind, while a US$15.5B JETP underwrites the coal transition.

Thailand

Industrial & agrifood-oriented

114

Startups

10%

Of SEA-6

2065

Net-zero target

114 startups with notable strength in Industrial Decarbonisation. The Bio-Circular-Green (BCG) model, T-VER carbon program, and 30@30 EV manufacturing target define the transition pathway.

Malaysia

Balanced, mid-sized ecosystem

170

Startups

15%

Of SEA-6

2050

Net-zero target

170 startups spread relatively evenly across sectors. NEP, NETR, and MyRER frameworks plus the JS-SEZ are creating a data-centre and green-industrial pipeline anchored by Johor and Penang.

Indonesia

The systems giant

185

Startups

16%

Of SEA-6

2060

Net-zero target

Southeast Asia's largest economy with abundant renewables, vast forests, and the FOLU Net Sink 2030 agenda. 185 startups mirror the structure of the real economy.

Sector profiles

Seven sectors. One systems opportunity.

Sectors don't advance in parallel — they advance in relationship. Pick a sector to see the headline activities, and then click through for the complete profile.

281 startups · 24% of all mapped

Nature, Agriculture & Food

"The region's largest mitigation lever — and the foundation of resilience."

Offers Southeast Asia its fastest, highest-impact emissions reductions. A small share of forests, rice systems, and fertiliser-intensive farms drive most land-use emissions, so targeted interventions yield outsized benefits.

281

Companies

180

Top activity

54%

From FALU

Inside the full sector profile
  • 5 detailed opportunity areas with concrete innovation directions
  • Country distribution + which markets lead
  • AI-enabled sub-opportunities specific to this sector
  • Featured startups operating in the space
  • Cross-references to related country profiles
218 startups · grid readiness sets the ceiling

Energy Transition

"The system bottleneck — and the system catalyst."

Energy demand is soaring, but renewables cannot scale without stronger, smarter, more connected grids. The biggest gains now come from grid upgrades, storage, distributed energy, PPAs, and regional power trade.

218

Companies

133

solar pv

89

in singapore

Inside the full sector profile
  • 5 detailed opportunity areas with concrete innovation directions
  • Country distribution + which markets lead
  • AI-enabled sub-opportunities specific to this sector
  • Featured startups operating in the space
  • Cross-references to related country profiles
179 startups · Singapore hosts 90 (53%)

Climate Markets & Enablers

"The 'operating system' of the green economy."

Regulation is forcing companies to measure, verify, and report emissions with precision. MRV systems, carbon markets, ESG automation, and transition finance platforms are becoming the region's core climate infrastructure.

179

Companies

90

in singapore

61

env.
monitoring

Inside the full sector profile
  • 5 detailed opportunity areas with concrete innovation directions
  • Country distribution + which markets lead
  • AI-enabled sub-opportunities specific to this sector
  • Featured startups operating in the space
  • Cross-references to related country profiles
145 startups · most of 2030 stock already built (53%)

Built Environment

"Where climate risk meets daily life."

Buildings face rising heat, water stress, and flood risk. The priority is rapid retrofits: efficient cooling, water reuse, smart operations, and nature-based flood protection.

145

Companies

78

in singapore

42

Water sub-
sector

Inside the full sector profile
  • 5 detailed opportunity areas with concrete innovation directions
  • Country distribution + which markets lead
  • AI-enabled sub-opportunities specific to this sector
  • Featured startups operating in the space
  • Cross-references to related country profiles
135 startups · Indonesia over-indexes

Transportation & Logistics

"A redesign challenge, not just a vehicle challenge."

Transport emissions stem from system inefficiencies more than engine types. Electrification is accelerating — especially for two- and three-wheelers — but the larger opportunity lies in smarter routing, fleet optimisation, port logistics, and cold chain efficiency.

135

Companies

96

Personal vehicle

29

In Indonesia

Inside the full sector profile
  • 5 detailed opportunity areas with concrete innovation directions
  • Country distribution + which markets lead
  • AI-enabled sub-opportunities specific to this sector
  • Featured startups operating in the space
  • Cross-references to related country profiles
68 startups · CBAM 2026 forces the issue

Industrial Decarbonisation

"Small sector, huge global stakes."

Industry faces the strongest pressure from EU's CBAM and tightening supply chain requirements. Transforming industrial ecosystems is essential to protecting export competitiveness — through low-carbon materials, electrified heat, CCUS hubs, and data-driven optimisation.

68

Companies

Thailand

Over-indexes

CBAM 2026

Forcing
function

Inside the full sector profile
  • 5 detailed opportunity areas with concrete innovation directions
  • Country distribution + which markets lead
  • AI-enabled sub-opportunities specific to this sector
  • Featured startups operating in the space
  • Cross-references to related country profiles
124 startups · EPR opens new markets

Circular Economy & Waste

"Turning system inefficiencies into value."

Low recycling rates and infrastructure gaps waste valuable resources, but new EPR and plastics policies are opening markets. High-value opportunities lie in advanced recycling, organic waste valorisation, circular manufacturing, and digital tracking.

124

Companies

Recycling

Top activity

EPR

Driving
growth

Inside the full sector profile
  • 5 detailed opportunity areas with concrete innovation directions
  • Country distribution + which markets lead
  • AI-enabled sub-opportunities specific to this sector
  • Featured startups operating in the space
  • Cross-references to related country profiles
Startup directory

All 1,150 startups. Searchable, filterable, one page.

Every company in this Landscape, in one browsable directory — filter by sector, activity, or country, or search by name and description.

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